The Value Betting to Bluffing Ratio for 3 Streets of Value

Recall that a player with a polarized range is able to bluff many more hand combinations on the flop than on the river when making pot sized bets.

폴라되어있는 레인지를 가지고 있는 플레이어를 상기해보자. 이 플레이어는 리버보다는 플랍에

That’s because the same value hands are bet on each street, but on the river a higher fraction of the betting range needs to be the value hands to keep the opponent indifferent to calling.

We’ll use the same approach here and make many of the same assumptions with the only difference being that the bet sizings which will be used are those more common than a pot sized bet.
Specifically, many players usually bet around 75 percent of the pot if they think their opponent can be strong and may be planning on check-raising.

One of the reasons for this is that good players don’t usually start overbetting until they’re confident they can only rarely be beaten, and this usually doesn’t occur until the river after their opponent has called twice.
Let’s start with figuring out what fraction of our flop bets need to be value bets if we plan on betting 75 percent of the pot on each street with a perfectly polarized range.

So by betting this amount on the river, our opponent will risk 0.75 pot sized bets to win 1.75 pot sized bets.

This requires 70 percent of our river bets to be value bets.